Fresh from last Saturday’s fill up on Hartnell at $18, we’re back for another Saturday of Spring Racing Best Bets, highlighted by Group 1 action at Flemington and Randwick.
While Winx looks to have a mortgage on the Turnbull at Flemington, we’ve found five bets across the Melbourne card, while also playing in the three black type features in Sydney as well.
Check out our best bets for Flemington and Randwick below!
Godolphin’s RANIER (R2#4, $3.50) may still be a maiden but she brings clearly the best formlines to this Listed 1400m event for the three-year-old fillies. She’s produced two gallant efforts chasing home Miss Fabulass and Nakeeta Jane this prep and she speed map has her enjoying a kinder trip in transit here. Yet to miss the placings in four starts, she can notch her first win here.
Leonardo Da Hinchi rockets home to win the Group 2 Stutt Stakes.
— Racing.com (@Racing) September 28, 2018
READY TO ATONE
Frankel colt FAROOQ (R4#7, $11.00/$3.50) was never fully tested when eighth, beaten just 1.6L in the Stutt Stakes at Moonee Valley. He found himself bundled away on the inside and had plenty more to give. He gets his chance to show that over the 1800m at Flemington in an open UCI Stakes, which looks to have enough speed on to give each runner their chance. He looks like he needs time to go through his gears – expect to see him pulling to the middle of the track and winding up down the straight. A leading contender at each-way odds.
The Group 2 Gilgai Stakes down the straight is yet another open race on the Flemington card. John Thompson sends the dynamic DREAMFORCE (R6#4, $7.00) south for his first up assignment. Typically an on-pace runner, he has also performed in a run-on capacity and will have options from the wide draw. He brings an impressive career strike and first up record to the table and excels at all distances up to the mile. This is his toughest test to date but is in this up to his ears.
— 7HorseRacing 🐎 (@7horseracing) September 16, 2018
It wouldn’t take a genius to find AVILIUS (R7#1, $2.10) as the best of the day in Group 3 The Bart Cummings but we’d advise against betting early – you’ll likely get a better price on race day. But it’s little wonder he’s been priced so short early. All three of his runs since arriving in Australia have been exceptional and he has a second to the brilliant Cracksman at Chantilly over this trip to his name. A soft run along the rails should have him ready to unwind in the straight and secure a ticket to the Melbourne Cup.
RETURN TO TYPE
SAVATIANO’S (R9#9, $3.80) picket fence was undone when caught wide and working in the Tibbie at Newcastle before being run down late by Princess Posh. They cleared out from the others and with a three-week break under her belt looks a great bet in the last at Flemington. There’s enough speed from wider gates to ensure a genuine tempo and she maps for the perfect trailing cover. A strong bet to finish the day.
— Sky Racing (@SkyRacingAU) September 14, 2018
We are huge fans of AYLMERTON (R6#2, $9.00/$2.90) and are interpreting a big gear change for the Group 2 Roman Consul Stakes as a statement of intent from the Hayes & Dabernig stable. A winner of two of four career starts, the colt was disappointing first up at Caulfield and now gets blinkers for the first time. He was considered a genuine Golden Slipper chance in the Autumn and it is hoped the blinkers can switch him on to rediscover that form. If so, he is considerably over the odds.
GROUP 1 VALUE
With Winx turning the Turnbull Stakes into a spectacle as opposed to a betting race, our only Group 1 bet of the day is in the Spring Champion. Thinkin Big is a deserved favourite but there are reasonable question marks over the Gloaming Form. We’re much happier to look at the Spring Stakes winner ARAMAYO (R7#4, $7.50/$2.45) who came from the back and wide to score in dominant fashion. Third place Greysful Glamour subsequently scored a stunning Oaks Trial victory. Happy to take the each-way price about the up and coming Godolphin stayer.
Aramayo overcomes the wide sit under @tyeangland and comes with a big run down the outside to land the prize in the G3 NJC Spring Stakes @newcastleraces_ for @godolphin & @JamesCummings88. pic.twitter.com/M8iGxobt5Z
— Sky Racing (@SkyRacingAU) September 14, 2018
TURNING THE TABLES
The Group 3 Angst Stakes for the mares looks a handy race but we believe PRINCESS POSH (R8#3, $8.00/$2.25) presents as a great each-way chance. She brings the Savatiano form which we are keen on and with clearer galloping room would have gone closer last start than her 0.5L third to Shumookh, the favourite here. She also gets a 2kg swing for those keen on weights and measures. These mares look fairly well matched but the Princess is the clear overs.