DERBY Day at Flemington – the biggest and best punting day of the year! Our expert has given his thoughts on each race below.
You can read his full analysis below – and check out a comprehensive Group 1 Victoria Derby preview here.
FLEMINGTON – SATURDAY 4TH NOVEMBER
There looked two clear hopes in this but after the scratching of KAONIC, LEVENDI stands out as the bet of the day. Ran a comparable race to Royal Symphony in the Caulfield Guineas and he should have run a drum in the Cox Plate. That’s good enough here.
Betting tip: LEVENDI win @ $3.50 fixed. BEST BET.
Plenty of angles in the Wakeful this year but no standout betting proposition. BRING ME ROSES looks a deserved favourite off her Manifold win, LUVALUVA has had plenty of admirers up north for some time and GLAM GURU carries knockout hopes.
Betting tip: Enjoy the race.
The mares take on the straight course and its another affair with a host of chances. That said, if SHEIDEL is on her A-game and the inside barrier isn’t a disadvantage, she should be hard to beat. LAKE COMO is the proven straight horse but that’s in weaker company.
Betting tip: Something small SHEIDEL @ $4.80 fixed.
HARLEM is the next best bet of the day. He was desperately unlucky in the Caulfield Cup, gets a dream run in transit and has a class edge on these. Most of these need to win to ensure a Cup start on Tuesday – ALOFT is the second pick from a dangerous stable in these circumstances.
Betting tip: HARLEM to win @ $3.80 fixed. NEXT BEST.
The Coolmore is the race of the day! Incredibly, HOUTZEN was $18 when far from disgraced in The Everest and has come up $12.00 here. She could be too speedy for them out in front, while TULIP is the one we have our eye on as the late closer. It isn’t hard to make a case for most of them.
Betting tip: HOUTZEN each-way @ $12.00/$3.80 fixed
The Myer is another cracker. GLOBAL GLAMOUR can control this from out in front or take a sit one pair back. She is so classy and looks a bet here. SHOALS is a very good horse, while FOXPLAY and SILENT SEDITION aren’t far behind. Good race!
Betting tip: Small play GLOBAL GLAMOUR @ GOAT Top +5%
Fascinating mile race to round out the Group 1s on the program. TOSEN STARDOM was our pick and saluted in a hectic Toorak, but with less speed on up front we’re giving TOM MELBOURNE one last go. He can control this from the top.
Betting tip: TOM MELBOURNE @ GOAT Top +5%
Back down the straight for the final race on the card and there’s another very open field served up. RICH CHARM is a consistent sprinter who will get the chance to show his turn of foot, while Keen Array has run well down the straight previously. Hard to find a clear play though.
Betting tip: Tough to bet early