Racing

2017 Group 1 Manikato Stakes: Betting Preview & Tips

THE 2017 Moir Stakes has brought together a crack field of sprinters choc full of high class form from The Everest and Group 1 events of the Melbourne Spring so far.

Vega Magic, the tragic story of The Everest, is the early favourite, but has been plundered into $2.15, leaving plenty of fast horses at big prices throughout the market.

Here is our take on every horse in the field – you can get set on the race via fixed odds or GOAT Top +5% here.

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SPEED MAP

The favourite Vega Magic was beaten by negativity from a wide gate in The Everest but there’s no doubt the instructions are to lead from barrier two here. Hey Doc will likely lob outside him, with In Her Time and Super Cash the next pairing. Then it gets muddled, with many of the knockout chances including Voodoo Lad, Viddora, English and Rock Magic all fighting for a spot in the third pairing. Chautauqua will be spotting them all a start!

THE RUNNERS

1 CHAUTAUQUA ($7.50): The pattern of the day made things tricky when he flew home for fourth over his pet track and trip, the Randwick 1200m, in The Everest. He’ll be last in the run and it will take a mammoth effort to run down the leading contenders up on the pace around the tight Moonee Valley circuit.

2 VEGA MAGIC ($2.15): All but a moral beaten in The Everest when poorly ridden. From barrier three here he looks the likely leader and his previous fourth up form is excellent. The clear top pick but he wouldn’t want to get any shorter to entice a bet.

3 MALAGUERRA ($17.00): Once again drawn the widest barrier in the field – they went back in the Moir over 1000m and backers will hope they don’t do the same here. Then again, being caught wide up outside Vega Magic won’t be the place to be either. Historically goes well second up but the map makes it tricky.

4 HEY DOC ($21.00): Has been freshened for six weeks after finishing down the order in the G1 Makybe Diva and drops back to 1200m here. Tends to go well fresh over this trip and with a positive ride can be right in the mix as they turn for home. Whether or not some of these are too sharp for him is the question.

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5 ROCK MAGIC ($23.00): His first run here was a 1.6L fourth in the G1 Moir and he was good again second up when storming home against the pattern in the G1 Schillaci at Caulfield. Has become a model of consistency in his old age and looks one of the value contenders.

6 VOODOO LAD ($23.00): Unbeaten over the track and distance, albeit in lesser events. Speed map suggests he will sit three back the fence, directly trailing the top two in the market. On his day he’s a powerful Group 1 sprinter, he’s rock hard fit fourth up and along with Rock Magic he’s the other big each-way hope at odds.

7 SPIETH ($20.00): An up and down preparation saw him finish second to The Everest winner first up before failing down the Flemington straight in the Gilgai. He’s never visited Moonee Valley before and he appears the style of horse that would relish big open spaces, plus he’ll be settling at the rear. Not this time.

8 ENGLISH ($12.00): Has been racing in fine style all preparation without quite winning and her effort in The Everest was honest as always. She was two lengths from the winner in this race last year and will once again have it all to do from the rear of the field turning for home.

9 IN HER TIME ($5.50): Unlucky to miss a run in The Everest, she won the consolation event on the same day with her second gut-busting effort in two runs this prep. Can’t knock her but she was trained to peak second up and perhaps is a little under the odds here.

10 VIDDORA ($16.00): A tragedy beaten in the G1 Moir, her second runner up finish at Group 1 level. She boasts a superb second up record, has placed three from four at the track and hasn’t missed the quinella in six starts. This is a tougher assignment though and from back in the field and perhaps on the fence too it will take a mammoth effort to win.

11 SUPER CASH ($19.00): Multiple Group 2 winner, including the Schillaci last start, she’s an underrated mare who makes her own luck up on the pace. She’ll likely lob around the ‘one-one’ in this and give herself every chance, but again the others may just be too sharp.

THE VERDICT

It is hard to envisage a situation where Vega Magic is not given every possible chance to win and, should he control the tempo, he should be doing so. Whether or not you’re willing to take the shorts is the question.

We concede that In Her Time is a VERY good horse (she was our best of the day at Randwick a fortnight ago) but she looks unders in this field and instead, we’ve gone with the value in Voodoo Lad, Rock Magic and Viddora to make up the multiples.

Chautauqua and English are very good horses, but if those in the second half get mobile and to the outside too early, how wide will they be pushed on the turn?

1 VEGA MAGIC

2 VOODOO LAD

3 ROCK MAGIC

4 VIDDORA

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